FORECASTING DIGITAL CRIME AND DIGITAL TERRORISM Forecasting Digital Crime and Digital Terrorism Trends Introduction The ongoing cyber-criminal threats all around the United States result in major financial losses. Cyber-crimes also have an impact on the critical substructure of an organization such as supply chain and intellectual property matters. Thus, various critical infrastructures face a major cyber threat. As the society is evolving and inventing, criminals are also deploying great adaptability to attain the greatest benefit from information technology. The infrastructure of this country is, therefore, at a critical point from the mounting cyber threats. The threat is also as a result of the progressions in the complexity and availability of malevolent software tools. In fact, the new technologies raise new security concerns that may not be under consideration for their adoption. Thus, the developing mechanization in our infrastructure poses more cyber security threats that can be easily abused by opponents. This paper will show how the law enforcement personnel in this field need training with various upcoming technologies. This way they will be one step ahead of digital terrorism and digital crime (Police Executive Research Forum, 2012). Outline of Computer Crime Forecast Digital crime and digital terrorism will, in the future, be worse than it is right now. The law enforcement agencies and laws have not managed to keep up with the changing technology. They always have something new to deal with immediately after discovering an approach to solving the current problem. As a result, the law enforcement agencies are always behind the power curve. It is, therefore, necessary to train new personnel of various law enforcement agencies on the currently existing technology and the upcoming new technologies. It is because technology changes on a daily basis that this trend will never end. The law enforcement agencies can learn a lot from the past to help them predict the future criminal trends so as to facilitate best practices for prosecuting and investigating computer crime. They will also learn how to research the past, present, and future emerging methodological aspects relating to digital crime. By overview, there are eight forecasts developed from data collection and analysis. It is possible to understand the digital terrorism and crime happening in the future. The eight forecasts are as follows: 1. The number of reported offenses to the police on issues relating to electronic storage media and computers will continue to rise. It will call for a change in priority in terms of new training for investigators and officers, resource allocation, new knowledge for prosecuting judges and attorneys and new police specialties. 2. Major computer related crimes that are addressed by the local law enforcement will continue to represent the largest monetary loss and number of victims as a result of internet fraud from identity theft. 3. There will be an increase of virtual crimes against persons than it was in the past years. It is as a result of the widespread expansion of personal computing, networking, and social networking sites. The hybrid crimes will have the same characteristics similar to those of psychological warfare.
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